Italy · Serie A · kick-off 3 Nov 2026 00:30
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NextGOAL tip: Sassuolo +0.25 · 3 stars
Sassuolo and Fiorentina have met several times in the past few years, and the home side has usually had the edge on its own ground. The last time Sassuolo hosted Fiorentina it ended 3-1, but this time the picture is different: both are struggling near the bottom of the table and neither has won any of their last five. Sassuolo have just lost 2-6 to Roma in their latest match and have lost 3 in a row. The defence is clearly a problem, having conceded 22 goals in 9 matches. Fiorentina are not much better: they drew 2-2 last time out but have won only one of 9 matches and have scored just 11 goals all season. Both teams have similar possession averages of around 46-47% over their last 10 matches and take a similar number of shots on target, around 5 per game. This game is likely to be an open exchange in midfield rather than a defensive setup, because both need points to escape the danger zone. If Fiorentina still cannot find a sharp finish as before, Sassuolo at home should be able to manage the game and are more likely to take points from this match than to let the visitors come and win comfortably.