Mexico · Liga MX · kick-off 22 Oct 2026 08:00
Full time · score 2-2
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): Toluca 60 · Tijuana 28
mPS in-play performance (0-100): Toluca 53 · Tijuana 48
Shots on target 6-4 · corners 17-5 · possession 76-24
NextGOAL tip: Toluca -1.25 · 1 stars
Toluca have met Tijuana many times and have usually been clearly the dominant side, especially at home where they won 4-0 and 2-0 in the last two times they hosted this opponent. This time Toluca sit second in the table, while Tijuana are in 10th, so this is a game where the hosts need points to chase the top of the table, while the visitors are struggling to find better results. Toluca just finished their last match with a 1-1 draw and have not won in their last five games, but at home they average 2.7 goals per game from 6 matches, and both teams scored in 5 of 6 of those. Tijuana are no better, as they also have not won in their last five. Away from home in 4 matches they have not won at all (3 draws, 1 loss) and concede an average of 2.0 goals per game. The good news for the visitors is that their defence is starting to settle, but their away attack is still blunt. This game is likely to open with Toluca controlling the ball and pushing high, while Tijuana sit deep and wait to counter. In the first half Toluca tend to start strongly and have a chance to take the lead before the break, because at home they average 1.23 first-half goals and have led at half-time in 9 of 13 home matches. But in the second half the game will open up more as Tijuana have to push, and Toluca themselves clearly concede more in the second half than the first. This is the period when the game could turn, but with Toluca's quality at home, they should edge the win in the end.