Germany · Bundesliga · kick-off 10 Oct 2026 20:30
Full time · score 2-3
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): TSG Hoffenheim 63 · Hamburger SV 22
mPS in-play performance (0-100): TSG Hoffenheim 43 · Hamburger SV 50
Shots on target 4-4 · corners 7-3 · possession 64-36
NextGOAL tip: TSG Hoffenheim -1.25 · 2 stars
TSG Hoffenheim host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga, and the two sides come into this one in clearly different shape. The hosts have just lost 1-3 in the league, while the visitors won 2-0 in their last match. TSG Hoffenheim still have not found a win in the league in their last four matches. Although they have scored 7 goals this season, they have conceded as many as 10, and the defence has been a problem that has haunted them throughout. Hamburger SV, meanwhile, have just won two in a row, but before that they lost heavily 0-5 two matches in a row, and they have scored only 2 goals in the league this season while conceding 13, making them the leakiest defence in the group of teams at the bottom of the table. Looking at how the games have played out, TSG Hoffenheim have clearly had more of the ball and created more shots on target, while Hamburger SV focus on sitting deep and waiting to counter. But a defence that concedes easily leaves them at risk of being put under heavy pressure all game. If the hosts score first, the game is likely to flow in one direction and end with a big enough margin.