Spain · La Liga 2 · kick-off 3 Oct 2026 21:15
Full time · score 2-1
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): Almería 62 · Burgos 42
mPS in-play performance (0-100): Almería 58 · Burgos 46
Shots on target 8-4 · corners 8-3 · possession 69-31
NextGOAL tip: Almería -0.75 · 3 stars
Almería and Burgos meet often in the lower league, and in the last six meetings the hosts have taken as many as four wins. This time, though, the picture is different, because both come in sitting 3rd and 4th, just a point apart. Almería arrive on a run of four straight wins, with a defence so tight they have conceded just 4 goals in 7 matches, while Burgos are also unbeaten in five, but they have drawn two and conceded more. Burgos have not won a single away game in the first half of this season. This looks like a game where Almería will have more of the ball and gradually grind Burgos back into a deep block. If the hosts score first, Burgos will have to open up, which is exactly the moment Almería are best at. The first thing to watch after kick-off is how high Almería press, because if the hosts settle into their game early, the match is likely to flow in one direction.