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Guinea vs Kenya — match summary

Africa · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · kick-off 1 Oct 2026 23:00

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NextGOAL tip: Guinea -0.75 · 2 stars

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications this fixture sees Guinea host Kenya, with both teams having just played in this competition in their most recent match. Guinea lost 1-2, while Kenya drew 1-1. The group situation still requires both to keep collecting points, and this match is one where the two sides need different kinds of results. Guinea come in with form that is still not great. They have not won any of their last five and have lost their last three in a row. But looking at their game in the last ten matches across all competitions, they have around 52.5% possession and 3.3 shots on target per match. Meanwhile, Kenya are unbeaten in five straight, with more shots on target at 6.11 per match (from 9 matches) and 54.9% possession, making them the side that creates chances more consistently on the numbers. This game is likely to see Guinea as the side pushing the play, because they are at home and need all three points, while Kenya, unbeaten for many matches, will likely sit back and wait to counter. If Guinea score first, the game should open up even more, and Kenya will have to push up and fight, which will make the middle of the pitch wider and give Guinea chances to add more from counterattacks.

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