Africa · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · kick-off 29 Sept 2026 20:00
Full time · score 2-2
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): Burundi 20 · Algeria 59
mPS in-play performance (0-100): Burundi 31 · Algeria 39
Shots on target 2-3 · corners 6-2 · possession 29-71
NextGOAL tip: Burundi +1.5 · 2 stars
The previous meeting between these two teams ended with Algeria crushing Burundi 4-0 in January 2024, before the one after that finished 1-1 in June 2019. This time it is an Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications game that Burundi get to play at home, and the context for both teams is quite different from that last meeting. Burundi come in having just lost two in a row, with their latest match in this competition a 0-1 defeat at home, after earlier results that included a 4-0 win in the same competition and a heavy 0-5 loss in a friendly. Algeria, meanwhile, have just won 3-1 in this competition in their latest match, but before that in World Cup qualifying they mixed in a 0-3 defeat, a 3-3 draw and a 0-2 loss. This game is interesting because Algeria clearly dominate possession based on their stats over the last 10 matches in all competitions, sitting at 57.4% and managing 5.63 shots on target per game, compared with Burundi at 48.44% possession, who focus on defending and waiting to counter. But with Burundi playing at home and Algeria having to travel far, the game may not open up into an end-to-end exchange from the start. The first thing to watch after kickoff is how deep Burundi sit and how much possession they allow Algeria to have.