Italy · Serie A · kick-off 31 Aug 2026 01:45
Full time · score 0-1
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): Cagliari 33 · Inter 82
mPS in-play performance (0-100): Cagliari 34 · Inter 65
Shots on target 0-7 · corners 8-6 · possession 35-65
NextGOAL tip: Cagliari +1.25 · 1 stars
The goal timing numbers for both sides point to the latter stages of the game: Cagliari concede 30% of their total goals between minutes 76-90, while Inter score 27% of their goals in the same period, which is also the highest proportion for the away side. This game therefore has a higher chance of opening up in the final 15 minutes than early on. Additionally, Inter started the season with a 4-1 win over Monza in Serie A on Aug 22, while Cagliari beat Parma 0-1 on the same day. The form of both sides is not vastly different, but the steady handicap price with Inter favored by 1.25 suggests the market is not confident the game will be far apart. The condition for this angle to materialize is that Cagliari must keep the game tight until the 60th minute, then take the risk of opening up and trading chances, which is the period when they score the most, between minutes 61-75 (24%).