Netherlands · Eredivisie · kick-off 11 Oct 2026 21:45
Full time · score 1-5
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): Excelsior 34 · FC Groningen 37
mPS in-play performance (0-100): Excelsior 38 · FC Groningen 52
Shots on target 2-9 · corners 3-6 · possession 49-51
NextGOAL tip: FC Groningen (level) · 1 stars
Excelsior and FC Groningen meet in very different states of form. The hosts have just drawn 2-2 in their latest match and have not won in 3 consecutive games. Their attack keeps producing, but the defence keeps conceding and that is why they cannot collect wins. The visitors, meanwhile, have just won 3-0 and are unbeaten in 3 consecutive games. Their form is settling down after an early-season spell when the defence had problems. The season numbers of the two teams are very close. Both have 11 points from 7 matches, but Excelsior have conceded fewer goals (9 compared to 13), while FC Groningen have scored the same 15 goals. What differs is the timing within games. Excelsior concede in the 46th-60th minute, accounting for 25% of all the goals they have conceded; that is the spell when they often lose focus after returning from the break. FC Groningen, meanwhile, concede late in games, as much as 30% of all the goals they have conceded. This match therefore has a good chance of opening up into an end-to-end second half. At home, Excelsior play with less possession than their opponents (44.3% over their last 10 matches) but still create chances consistently. FC Groningen have slightly more possession and put more shots on target. If the hosts score first, the game is likely to open up for a long stretch, because both teams have attacks that genuinely score. But if the visitors control the tempo and avoid conceding late as they have done before, the game tends to end without defeat for them, which is the path the visitors want.