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Birmingham City vs Brentford — match summary

England · Carabao Cup · kick-off 26 Aug 2026 02:00

Full time · score 1-6

Shots on target 2-8 · corners 4-6 · possession 31-69

NextGOAL tip: Brentford -0.5 · 1 stars

The goal timing numbers for both teams point in the same direction: this game has a chance of breaking open late. Birmingham City score most in the 1-15 min period at 20%, but concede most in the 31-45 min period at 22%. Meanwhile, Brentford score most in the 76-90 min period at 24% and concede most in the same period at 26%. The home side's latest Championship game on Aug 22 ended in a 2-2 draw with Bristol City, while the visitors just thrashed Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 in the Premier League on Aug 22. The opening price has Brentford as 0.5 favorites, and the line hasn't moved, indicating the market believes the away side is superior. But with only 2 matches of data for each team this season, reading this round must rely mainly on short-term form and goal timing. The system's angle, backing Brentford at 0.5, still holds due to the sharpness of an attack that just scored 3 against Tottenham Hotspur.

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