Uruguay · Primera Division · kick-off 31 Aug 2026 01:30
Full time · score 0-1
pPS pre-match readiness (0-100): Peñarol 61 · Nacional 52
mPS in-play performance (0-100): Peñarol 46 · Nacional 35
Shots on target 2-2 · corners 6-3 · possession 50-50
NextGOAL tip: Peñarol -0.25 · 1 stars
Peñarol and Nacional last met in Mar. 26, with Nacional losing 0-1 at home. In the last 5 meetings, Peñarol won 2 and drew 3, remaining unbeaten. But this time, both teams are just starting the season, and their form is not settled. Defense is likely to be the deciding factor, as Peñarol concedes the most goals in the 31-45 min period, up to 27% of all their conceded goals, while Nacional concedes 42% in the 76-90 min period. The odds opened with Peñarol as a 0.25 favorite, and the line hasn't moved, indicating the market sees no clear difference. But given their head-to-head record and home advantage, this match should end with the home team unbeaten, with a better chance of winning.